Synthetic Long Discount Alert: BLUE APRON HOLDINGS INC $APRN trading at a 13.47% discount for the 17-Jul-2020 expiration
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APRN was recently trading at $12.13 and has an implied volatility of 219.03% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APRN expiring on 17-Jul-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.84-$38.63 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 58.58%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $12.00, which is already $0.13 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $1.50 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.63 per share over the underlying price of $12.13 for a 13.47% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
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