Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -7.1% move in LION BIOTECH INC
The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
LBIO was recently trading at $5.25 and has an implied volatility of 111.99% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LBIO expiring on 21-Jul-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.36-$5.25 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 25.65%.
Big -7.08% Change: After closing the last trading session at $5.65, LION BIOTECH INC opened today at $5.70 and has reached a low of $5.00.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.08% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if LBIO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $5.25 on 21-Jul-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LION BIOTECH INC closes at or below $5.60 on 21-Jul-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 55.84% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 5/30/2017 12:44:57 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.