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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for AMERISOURCEBERGEN (ABC) for the 31-Jul-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ABC was recently trading at $104.05 and has an implied volatility of 44.12% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ABC expiring on 31-Jul-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $104.06-$113.59 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.57%.

52 week high: AMERISOURCEBERGEN recently reached a new 52-week high at $104.70. ABC had traded in the range $72.06-$103.37 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ABC maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $104.05 on 31-Jul-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERISOURCEBERGEN closes at or above $103.70 on 31-Jul-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.57% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.