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52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in FRESENIUS MED CARE AG

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for FRESENIUS MED CARE AG (FMS) for the 21-Jan-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

FMS was recently trading at $33.12 and has an implied volatility of 28.10% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for FMS expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $29.26-$33.13 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.11%.

52 week low: FRESENIUS MED CARE AG recently reached a new 52-week low at $33.05. FMS had traded in the range $33.12-$43.86 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if FMS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $33.12 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if FRESENIUS MED CARE AG closes at or below $35.50 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 71.13% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

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