52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in AMETEK
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AME was recently trading at $124.67 and has an implied volatility of 24.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AME expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $124.67-$129.35 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.11%.
52 week high: AMETEK recently reached a new 52-week high at $125.81. AME had traded in the range $54.82-$122.33 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AME maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $124.67 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMETEK closes at or above $124.15 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.55% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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