52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL
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PRU was recently trading at $115.70 and has an implied volatility of 21.74% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PRU expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $115.70-$120.78 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 25.00%.
52 week high: PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL recently reached a new 52-week high at $115.98. PRU had traded in the range $77.27-$115.52 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PRU maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $115.70 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL closes at or above $114.00 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 63.49% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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