52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
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UBER was recently trading at $55.03 and has an implied volatility of 50.86% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UBER expiring on 22-Jan-2021, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $55.04-$65.71 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 89.41%.
52 week high: UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC recently reached a new 52-week high at $55.36. UBER had traded in the range $13.71-$54.87 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if UBER maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $55.03 on 22-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC closes at or above $54.89 on 22-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.61% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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