Covered Call Alert: NIU TECHNOLOGIES AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES $NIU returning up to 38.27% through 18-Dec-2020
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NIU was recently trading at $20.17 and has an implied volatility of 94.44% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NIU expiring on 18-Dec-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.52-$32.54 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.63%.
Moneyness: These options are currently 23.98% out of the money and there is a 33.00% likelihood that these options will be exercised before or at expiration.
Most upside: If NIU TECHNOLOGIES AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES closes at or above $25.00, this trade could return up to 38.27%. Based on our analysis, there is a 32.70% likelihood of this return.
The downside: As with any covered call, the risk is substantial as it is vulnerable to a downturn in the underlying itself. There is a 40.89% chance the underlying will close at or below its breakeven price of $18.08, resulting in a net loss on the trade.
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