Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 8.0% move in PFIZER
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Quantchabot has detected a promising
PFE was recently trading at $39.32 and has an implied volatility of 33.09% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PFE expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $39.33-$45.34 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 93.01%.
Big 8.03% Change: After closing the last trading session at $36.40, PFIZER opened today at $41.86 and has reached a high of $41.99.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 8.03% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PFE maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $39.32 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PFIZER closes at or above $39.01 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.30% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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