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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for MARATHON PETROLEUM (MPC) for the 11-Dec-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MPC was recently trading at $41.48 and has an implied volatility of 50.33% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MPC expiring on 11-Dec-2020, there is a 34.11% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $37.47-$41.48 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 51.20%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, MARATHON PETROLEUM was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in MPC on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MARATHON PETROLEUM closed at or below $41.70 on 11-Dec-2020. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.05% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.