52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in TRINET GROUP INC
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TNET was recently trading at $93.50 and has an implied volatility of 26.02% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TNET expiring on 15-Oct-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $93.51-$100.54 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 50.03%.
52 week high: TRINET GROUP INC recently reached a new 52-week high at $94.73. TNET had traded in the range $56.91-$93.50 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TNET maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $93.50 on 15-Oct-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TRINET GROUP INC closes at or above $93.20 on 15-Oct-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.81% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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