52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in ESTEE LAUDER COS
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Quantchabot has detected a promising
EL was recently trading at $235.75 and has an implied volatility of 28.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EL expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $235.28-$266.59 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 42.60%.
52 week high: ESTEE LAUDER COS recently reached a new 52-week high at $238.55. EL had traded in the range $137.01-$237.82 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if EL maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $235.75 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ESTEE LAUDER COS closes at or above $233.70 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.15% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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