Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 12.0% move in SUMO LOGIC INC. COMMON STOCK
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SUMO was recently trading at $27.61 and has an implied volatility of 99.41% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SUMO expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $27.61-$38.09 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 77.80%.
Big 11.96% Change: After closing the last trading session at $24.66, SUMO LOGIC INC. COMMON STOCK opened today at $27.25 and has reached a high of $28.86.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 11.96% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SUMO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $27.61 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SUMO LOGIC INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or above $27.60 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.06% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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