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Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for NATERA INC. COMMON STOCK (NTRA) for the 19-Feb-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NTRA was recently trading at $120.93 and has an implied volatility of 56.59% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NTRA expiring on 19-Feb-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $120.95-$144.20 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 27.58%.

52 week high: NATERA INC. COMMON STOCK recently reached a new 52-week high at $122.98. NTRA had traded in the range $16.87-$117.05 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NTRA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $120.93 on 19-Feb-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NATERA INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or above $120.45 on 19-Feb-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.94% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.