52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in INTERCONTINENTALEXCHANGE
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Quantchabot has detected a promising
ICE was recently trading at $111.41 and has an implied volatility of 22.40% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ICE expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $111.42-$118.86 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 41.33%.
52 week high: INTERCONTINENTALEXCHANGE recently reached a new 52-week high at $111.53. ICE had traded in the range $63.51-$110.71 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ICE maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $111.41 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if INTERCONTINENTALEXCHANGE closes at or above $111.35 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.41% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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