52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in COUPA SOFTWARE INCORPORATED COMMON STOCK
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COUP was recently trading at $170.62 and has an implied volatility of 52.92% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for COUP expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $141.92-$170.64 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 57.96%.
52 week low: COUPA SOFTWARE INCORPORATED COMMON STOCK recently reached a new 52-week low at $161.56. COUP had traded in the range $162.41-$377.04 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if COUP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $170.62 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if COUPA SOFTWARE INCORPORATED COMMON STOCK closes at or below $170.70 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.07% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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